Managed Aquifer Recharge as a strategy for increased water supply security in Eastern Botswana

The joint application of water supply system security, groundwater modelling, and multicriteria analysis (MCA) indicated the potential of Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) to increase water supply security in Eastern Botswana substantially. Botswana faces increased water stress due to decreased water availability as climate change exacerbates variability in rainfall and increases evaporation losses and water demand. The water supply for Eastern Botswana is based on the bulk water supply system of the North-South Carrier (NSC) connecting dams in the northeast to the main demand centres, including Gaborone. The potential of MAR to increase the water security of the NSC by storing water that otherwise would have been lost to spillover and evaporation and contribute to the provision of water during droughts was studied. Large-scale MAR in the Ntane sandstone aquifer at a wellfield by the NSC was evaluated in terms of hydrogeology and national water supply perspective. Comprehensive hydrogeological surveys and assessments included borehole injection tests and hydrogeological and geochemical modelling to evaluate risks of losing recharged water and clogging of boreholes. Probabilistic water supply system modelling analysed the impact of different MAR scenarios on the water supply security of the NSC, and an MCA tool assessed the sustainability of the different scenarios. The analysis showed that large-scale MAR is feasible, and a scheme with a capacity of 40,000 m3 /d is the most sustainable from technical, social, economic and environmental perspectives and could potentially reduce the number of months with water shortage by 50% in Gaborone.