The increasing water demand for the Northern Cape Province resulted in the detailed assessment of the exploitation potential of three groundwater development target areas namely SD1, SD2 and SD4, largely underlain by karst aquifers. Since 2014 the implementation of the wellfields was delayed pending authorisation. The potential impact on the groundwater resources was raised by several stakeholders as part of the process, resulting in the re-assessment of the SD1 and SD2 wellfields. The model update considered crucial data retrieved from several groundwater level loggers from April 2014 to December 2019. As a precursor to the model update the Cumulative Rainfall Departure (CRD) curves for the relevant rainfall stations for the study areas was updated. While for most sites a good relationship between rainfall and groundwater fluctuations was observed. A poor response of groundwater levels in comparison to the observed CRD curve suggests abstractions more than the recharge of the aquifer. Metered groundwater use is for most parts not available but was estimated based on the hydrocensus data. Once the models demonstrated to reproduce past behaviour, they were used to forecast the future behaviour. More importantly was to assess whether the 2014 proposed abstraction rates still held true after the re-calibration of the model. Several simulations were carried out iteratively to identify the optimal pumping rates and the temporal variability of the withdrawal period considering the impact on the groundwater resource. Based on the results the 2014 proposed production rates were reduced from 751,608 m3/month to 597,432 m3/month representing a 2019 mitigated (optimised) proposed abstraction scenario. The case study is an excellent example of adaptive groundwater management informed by crucial datasets and scenario modelling.
Presenter Name
Martin
Presenter Surname
Holland
Area
Northern Cape
Main Theme
Conference year
2021