Groundwater is an essential source of water worldwide. The increased reliance on groundwater has caused the mining of many aquifers, a situation compounded by climate change, rising surface-air temperature, declining precipitation, and reduced groundwater recharge in many regions. The global annual intensity of groundwater use rose from 128 to 155 m3 per capita between 1950 (when the world population was 2.5 billion people) and 2021 (when the population was 7.9 billion people) and is herein projected to rise to 178 m3 per capita by 2050 as the world’s population is projected to increase (to 9.7 billion people by 2050) throughout the rest of the 21st century and beyond. This study projects a global annual groundwater depletion of 1,008 km3 by 2050, representing a 256% rise from the estimated 2010 depletion. This projection is most likely a lower bound of the actual groundwater depletion that would be realized considering environmental flows, historical trends of global economic growth, and climate-change impacts, thus being a harbinger of rising environmental degradation (e.g., land subsidence, seawater intrusion, streamflow reduction, aridification). Measures to achieve groundwater sustainability are herein identified.
Presenter Name
H
Presenter Surname
Loaiciga
Conference year
2023