A combined stochastic-analytical method for the assessment of climate change impact on spring discharge
This study describes a novel methodology for predicting spring hydrographs based on Regional Climate Model (RCM) projections to evaluate climate change impact on karstic spring discharge. A combined stochastic-analytical modelling methodology was developed and demonstrated on the Bukovica karst spring catchment at the Durmitor National Park, Montenegro. As a first step, climate model projections of the EURO-CORDEX ensemble were selected, and bias correction was applied based on historical climate data.