Identifying And Modelling Sustainable Groundwater Inflows Into The Verlorenvlei Coastal Estuarine System In South Africa

The Verlorenvlei estuarine lake is one of only two freshwater estuarine systems in South Africa. Whilst being important ecologically it is also a critical agricultural region, supporting a significant proportion of South African potato crops as well as a number of other diverse crops. The vlei itself is fed by the Verloren River which is thought to be fed by surface water inflows and baseflow throughout the year along several tributaries, namely the Krom Antonies, Hol, Berg Vallei and Kruismans. Each of these tributaries has a distinct hydrochemical character defined by cation and anion concentrations, as well as O, H and Sr isotopes. Simulated discharge from each tributary suggests that all tributaries contribute to the chemistry of the Verloren River. The Krom Antonies which has the freshest water has the highest discharge at around 50% of surface water inflows, whilst the Hol with the highest EC values contributes around 35% of surface water inflows. In spite of this, the surface water hydrochemistry in the Verloren River, is remarkedly fresh and very similar in character to the surface water of the Krom Antonies. Sr isotopes in each of the tributaries are distinct and support mixing of different components of each tributary above the confluence. However, below the confluence, they drop significantly which indicates mixing with another unidentified Sr-source. This source was thought to be baseflow from the deeper groundwater system, but the Sr isotope composition of deeper groundwater indicates that it is not the contributing component. Recent years have seen dramatic reductions in precipitation, while increases in pumping for agricultural purposes potentially exceeds the long-term sustainable yield of the aquifer system. Identification of this unknown component has therefore become a priority for groundwater management in the area as it is unclear how vulnerable this component will be to climate change and hence what impact climate change will have on the vlei.