Groundwater represents a crucial source of drinking water in the Lille metropolitan area. Despite its importance, the resource is vulnerable to the potential evolution of land use: recharge, runoff and evapotranspiration processes in a soil-sealing context and changes in cultural practices. As a result, stakeholders emphasized the importance of exploring the influence of land use on groundwater to ensure sustainable resource management and enhance territorial planning. The 3D hydrodynamic model helped manage groundwater resources, but the (MARTHE code) has a significant limitation in that it does not consider the impact of land use evolution. We propose to investigate the contribution of a hydrological distributed numerical approach incorporating land cover data in groundwater modelling compared to a global approach at the scale of a peri-urban territory. To do so, we use the HELP code by considering the temporal and spatial evolution of land use and their associated characteristics, such as vegetation and soil properties, to detail recharge and runoff over more than 20 years that we incorporate into the initial groundwater model.
The two approaches yielded comparable global water balance results. However, at the local scale, the model accounting for land use showed significantly different hydric components. Choosing the appropriate model depends on the specific research question and spatial scale, and considering land use evolution is crucial for accurate urban planning impact assessments, especially at the district level.