Assessing groundwater fluxes of transboundary aquifers, using a high-resolution global groundwater model and implications on transboundary cooperation

Worldwide, more than 400 transboundary aquifers (TBAs) have been identified. Only a small number of these aquifers have been assessed in detail. Consequently, little is known about (potential) transboundary impacts. Changes in transboundary groundwater fluxes can indicate potential transboundary impacts as groundwater abstractions can affect such fluxes, indicating potential risks of transboundary contamination. To our knowledge, a quantitative assessment of transboundary aquifer fluxes (TBAFs) is not available because national groundwater models (if existing) often lack a good interaction with surrounding countries. In recent years, a high-resolution global groundwater model (GGM) has been developed as part of the PCR-GLOBWB family of models, having a 5 arcmin (~10*10km2 ) resolution. PCR-GLOBWB has previously been used to quantify environmental flows, assess global droughts, and assess climate impacts on global water resources. Recently the 5 arcmin GGM has been updated to 30 arcsec (~1*1km2 ) using high performance computing (referred to as GLOBGM). We present an application of GLOBGM to assess TBAFs of major TBAs. Results show that even though hydrogeological data are often scarce, a rough order of magnitude of the TBAFs can be assessed. TBA fluxes are compared with groundwater recharge. Although GLOBGM cannot replace assessments of TBAs based on local hydrogeological information and information on groundwater use, the analysis provides valuable information. GLOBGM can be used to quantify the relevance of TBAFs in relation to other fluxes such as from rivers or (future) abstractions. TBAF analyses can also assist in prioritising scarce funds and capacity between TBAs