Assessment of Plume Stability in Monitored Natural Attenuation Assessments Using the Centre of Mass and Total Plume Mass Approach

Monitored natural attenuation (MNA) is becoming a commonly employed sustainable site remediation strategy for sites with petroleum hydrocarbon groundwater impacts. Natural attenuation is essentially the reduction in contaminant concentration, mass or mobility due to naturally occurring processes within the environment. Aromatic compounds such as benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylenes (BTEX) are common compounds of concern in the context of petroleum hydrocarbon related investigations because of their relative mobility and toxicity characteristics. Despite this, these compounds have historically displayed a strong affinity towards attenuating temporally and spatially away from the source areas. Evaluating plume stability is an important element of evaluating the overall attenuation of groundwater plumes and numerous methods have been developed in order to assess plume stability including graphical and statistical methods. It is often the case however that these analyses focus on single wells in isolation and do not take an integrated approach to evaluate the attenuation of contaminant mass over the entire plume. The authors present a case study where historical trends in plume characteristics have been used to assess overall plume stability. Trends in parameters such as average plume concentration, total plume contaminant mass, plume area and plume centre of mass were statistically assessed to determine whether the groundwater plume was expanding, stable, or shrinking. The methods employed in the plume stability analysis were found to be effective tools in demonstrating the occurrence of natural attenuation of contaminant plumes. It is important to note that a good quality dataset is required, in terms of a spatially representative monitoring well network and adequate time series data, in order to conduct analyses that will yield meaningful conclusions.