Alluvial aquifer modelling with MODFLOW in a case of a wellfield in a climate change context (Clermont-Ferrand, France)

This work is part of the AUVERWATCH project (AUVERgne WATer CHemistry), which aims to better characterise some Auvergne water bodies, specifically the alluvial hydrosystem of Allier River (France). Alluvial aquifers constitute worldwide a productive water resource, superficial and easily exploitable. In France, 45% of the groundwater use comes from these aquifers. The study site is a wellfield that withdraws 8.5 million m3 of water annually from an alluvial aquifer to produce domestic water for 80% of the local population. At the watershed scale, precipitations have decreased by -11.8 mm/y, air temperatures have increased by 0.06°C/y and the river flow has declined by 20.8 Mm3 /y on 2000 – 2020. In the summer period, at least 50% of the river flow is ensured by the Naussac dam (upstream catchment part), but the recent winter droughts have not allowed the dam to replenish. Thus, water stakeholders are concerned that the productivity of the wellfield could be soon compromised. Based on geological, geophysical, hydrochemical, and hydrodynamic surveys, a numerical model of the wellfield is being developed using MODFLOW. The calibration in natural flow regime is successful using a range of hydraulic conductivities going from 1×10-3 to 1×10-4 m/s (pilot points method), consistent with the pumping tests. Preliminary results show that the river entirely controls the groundwater levels at all observation points. The perspective is now to calibrate this model in a transient regime by integrating domestic water withdrawals to determine how low the river can go without affecting the wellfield productivity.