Nitrate vulnerability assessment in the fast-growing African district of Abuja Federal Capital Territory (Nigeria)

In the Federal Capital Territory of Abuja (Abuja FCT, Nigeria), a population growth of about 400% between 2000 and 2020 has been reported. This trend, coupled with the persisting urban sprawling, is likely to result in severe groundwater quality depletion and contamination, thus undermining one of the area’s main freshwater supplies for drinking purposes. In fact, groundwater in Nigeria and Abuja FCT provides over 70% of the drinking purposes. Results of a groundwater vulnerability assessment that compared land use data from 2000 and 2020 showed that the region had been affected by a dramatic change with an increase in urbanized (+5%) and agricultural (+27%) areas that caused nitrate concentrations to exceed the statutory limit for drinking purposes in more than 30% of the monitored wells in 2021 and 40% in 2022. Although fertilizers are generally considered the main source of nitrate contamination, results suggest a possible mixed (urban and agricultural) pollution origin and a legacy of previous nitrogen pollution sources. The comparison between the DRASTIC-LU map and nitrate concentrations shows that the highest values are found in urban/peri-urban areas, in both shallow and deep wells. This investigation is the first step of a comprehensive nitrate pollution assessment in the region, which will provide decision-makers with adequate information for urban planning given the expected population growth in the area