Evaluating changes in groundwater storage during the 2015-2018 drought in the Western Cape using GRACE data

The frequency, intensity, and duration of droughts are increasing globally, putting severe pressure on water supply systems worldwide. The Western Cape Province suffered from a period of severe water shortages that began around January 2015 and lasted until about July 2018. During this recent drought, there was a forced reduction in water use, predominantly from the agricultural sector. Citizens also reduced water use and increasingly tapped into groundwater for their needs irrespective of whether the hydrogeology was considered favourable or not. Unmonitored and unregulated abstraction of groundwater, especially under unstable climatic conditions, poses a significant risk to the future water security of the Western Cape.
We hypothesize that groundwater enabled the municipalities, residents, and industries of the Western Cape to survive the recent drought. Our aim is to evaluate the change in groundwater storage during the 2015 to 2018 drought and its subsequent recovery. To achieve this, we must gain a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of separate components of the water cycle, as well as the overall water balance.

While there is data on surface water use during the drought, the impact on groundwater resources has yet to be evaluated. However, the accurate assessment of groundwater use is difficult, especially in data-scarce regions, such as South Africa. In our study, we combine remote sensing from NASA’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), the Global Land Data Assimilation Systems, groundwater level measurements from the National Groundwater Archive, and ancillary datasets from the City of Cape Town’s weekly water dashboard to assess the total change in groundwater storage in the Cape Town Metropolitan area and surrounding cities over an 8-year period, from 2012 to 2020. Preliminary results from GRACE data analysis show a steady decline in aquifer saturated thickness over the drought, indicative of an increase in groundwater use.

Presenter Name
Ritshidze
Presenter Surname
Nenweli
Area
Western Cape
Conference year
2021